View topic - New Article: Best Bet (plus two)

[trenches Profile]

Best Bet (plus two) has been posted by Steel Haven at Stillers.com.

[2$TbleDnce Profile]

SBI --- Stillers Best Interest

Jets +3 @ Miami - Rex Ryan comes ready to fight and refuses to allow New York's hopes of making the playoffs end under his watch. The Jets defense isn't quite as good as previous seasons, but Sanchez throws touchdowns vs. the division (9 of 24 TD passes vs. AFC East) and their offense puts up enough points to win this. The Dolphins don't have much on offense, as was evident in the second half @ New England.

Cincinnati + 2 vs. Baltimore - The Bengals have claimed more division titles since 2005 (2) than Baltimore has (1). Winning this game gets the Bengals into to the playoffs and solidifies that Marvin Lewis is still a bigger dog in the AFC North than John Harbaugh. The Ravens celebrated mid season after a win at Heinz Field. Perhaps they figured this game wouldn't mean anything. The Poebirds best run blocker Marshall Yanda is OUT, which means Fluke-o has that much more responsibility to move their offense. Anquan Boldin is also OUT, which means Torrey Skillets Smith has that many more opportunities to clang footballs off his frying pans. The Bengals cleaned up their act quite a bit over the last year by dumping players whose performances on the football field were worth much less than they cost. Andy Dalton, AJ Green and Co. would be wise not to Bungle this game away. Cincinnati and its young players can take a major step in the direction of league wide relevance by pulling out a win here. Mmhmmm, and when the Stillers win the division thanks to defeating the Browns then the party is once again ON!

[isfry Profile]

SBI --- Stillers Best Interest
Jets +3 @ Miami - Rex Ryan comes ready to fight and refuses to allow New York's hopes of making the playoffs end under his watch. The Jets defense isn't quite as good as previous seasons, but Sanchez throws touchdowns vs. the division (9 of 24 TD passes vs. AFC East) and their offense puts up enough points to win this. The Dolphins don't have much on offense, as was evident in the second half @ New England.

Without pointing out the obvious "monday morning QB" comments on the outcomes of those games, I feel inclined to simply check the math. Sanchez threw 9 of his 24 TD passes against AFC East opponents, a rate of 37.5% his total. However, the Jets played 6 of their 16 regular season games against AFC East opponents (2 Buf, 2 NE, 2 Mia), a rate of 37.5% of their total. So Sanchez actually threw 37.5% of his touchdown passes in 37.5% of his games. Just goes to show you that there are lies, there are damn lies, and then there are statistics.