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Best Bet (plus two)

September 05, 2012 by Steel Haven

The conference championships and Super Bowl put me over .500 for the playoffs. A nice ending to a dismal year of best bets. I jumped on the Giants bandwagon down the stretch and in the playoffs. They covered for me in each of the last six weeks.

The first week is always tough. I was tempted to go to back to the Giants. Super Bowl champions traditionally have done well in the weekday, prime time opener. I will demure. I will go with a trio of favorites with top QBs under center hoping talent triumphs in the early season.

home team in bold

Best Bet

Detriot Lions (-7.0) over St. Louis Rams

Assuming Matt Stafford stays healthy I see the Lions building on last year�s success. The defense can only get better and has the talent to do so despite deficiencies in the secondary. Jeff Fisher has a lot of work to do in St. Louis. I thought this line would be double digits to be honest.

Others

Green Bay Packers (-5.0) over San Francisco 49ers

Aaron Rodgers versus Alex Smith is a mismatch of epic proportions. Am I the only one that thinks the Niners could take a step backwards in Jim Harbaugh�s second season?

New England Patriots (-6.0) over Tennessee Titans

Tom Brady versus Jake Locker might be a bigger mismatch than Rodgers versus Smith. Chandler Jones coming off the edge and Dont�a Hightower lining up all over the field should make the Patriots defense much more formidable. Brady has the ability to mask offensive line deficiencies. Locker�s lack of passing accuracy and Kenny Britt�s suspension make the Patriots secondary woes a moot point.

Super Bowl

New York Giants (+3.0) over New England Patriots WIN

Last year's playoffs: 7-4

Last year's regular season: 27-22-2  Best Bets: 5-11-1
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