Smitter�s Week 10 Picks vs the spread
Last week:�� 3-11�� Overall: 61-69�� 46.9%
FLG�s last week: 1-2�
FLG�s overall: 12-15�� 44.4%
How does the NFL choose when teams get their bye week?
Shouldn�t it all even out every few years? One year your bye is in the first
few weeks, one year it is in the middle of the bye process, and one year
towards the end? Well, counting this year, the Broncos have had their bye week
in Week 9, Week 10, Week 10, Week 9, Week 15, and Week 9. Meanwhile, the
Steelers have had their byes in Weeks 4, 7, 7, 3, 2, and 2. The Broncs average
is in week 10.3, heck, the Steelers haven�t had a bye any of their byes that
late and average is week 4.2. Maybe if I have some time, I�ll compare every
team�s bye weeks.
Cleveland (+ 8 �) over Steelers � For the
first time in a long time, I�m picking against the Steelers. I think this has
the potential to be every bit as sloppy and ugly as last week�s game, plus, for
the Brownies, this would make their season. I hope I�m wrong.
Buffalo (- 2 �) over Kansas City � Buffalo
is 3-2 after their bye week, but playing at home after their bye, they got to
figure that a 3 or 4 game winning streak might just get them in the race for
the divisional crown.
Tampa Bay (+ 1 �) over Washington � Both teams
need a win to keep pace in their division, maybe Tampa more so than Washinton.
Bucs defense is just a tad better than Washington�s.
Miami (+ 3 �) over New England � Miami always
plays New England tough at home. Miami can claim a tie for first with a win.
San Francisco (+ 13 �) over Chicago � I think
Chicago will win, but even at 5-3, I don�t think the Bears will win by 13
points.
Minnesota (+ 9 �) over NY Giants � Vikings
showed a little life last week with Brad Johnson at QB. Vikes at 3-5 aren�t out
of the playoff race in the wild, wacky NFC North.
Detroit (- 4 �) over Arizona � Arizona
isn�t a good road team. Detroit is still playing for the division title.
Jacksonville (- 6 �) over Baltimore � I doubt
Kyle Boller makes a difference. Jacksonville needs a win, and against the
lifeless Ravens, it shouldn�t be too difficult this week.
Houston (+ 17 �) over Indianapolis � The Colts
have a little bit of a down after the convincing win on Monday. Houston played
them tough the first game, I look for the same thing this week.
Carolina (- 9 �) over NY Jets �
Carolina may be the hottest team in the league this side of Indy. I don�t think
it matters who is QB�ing for the Jets, Bollinger, Vinnie, or Joe Willie couldn�t
help right this ship.
Oakland (+ 3 �) over Denver � Denver 4-1
after bye weeks, but going into Oakland and playing an improved Raiders team
will be too much for the Broncos.
St Louis (+ 6 �) over Seattle � The Rams
can pull within a game of the Seahawk�s with a win. Week off helps the Rams.
(3-2 after their bye weeks, but one loss was a 16- point win when they were 17
point favorites).
Green Bay (+ 9 �) over Atlanta � Green Bay
sucks, but they are losing close games. Even at home, I don�t expect the
Falcons to cover.
Philadelphia (- 3 �) over Dallas � Dallas is
2-3 after bye weeks. Eagles need to win, and the home crowd spurs them on this
week on Monday night.
My First Look Goodies (FLG) for the week are:
Tampa Bay (+ 1 �) over Washington
Detroit (- 4 �) over Arizona
Carolina (- 9 �) over NY Jets