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Smitter's Week Ten Predictions

November 09, 2006 by Steel Smitter

Smitter�s Week 1 Picks:

Smitter�s Week 10Picks:

Last week: 7-7��� Overall: 57-7144.5%��

FLG�s last week:1-2�� Overall11-1640.7%

 

Being the eternal black-and-gold optimist in all sports (I could tell you the day the Pirates� were mathematically eliminated from division and wildcard contention), I believe that if the Stillers run the table and finish 10-6, that they will be division champs. Now, I realize that we have seen anything yet this year that would leave anyone to believe that we can win 8 consecutive quarters, let alone games, but, that�s the way I�m thinking now.

 

Last week, home underdogs continued their streak, going 3-1, for a record of 30-14, 68.2%, for the year. Home favorites haven�t been as good, 41-43, 48.8%, for the year.

 

Miami (+ 1 �) over Kansas City � Interesting QB situation in KC with Trent Green about ready to return, but the Chiefs playing well with Damon Huard at QB. Chiefs have a very winnable game this week and play the Raiders next week before what could be a big matchup on Turkey Day evening against the Broncos. When, or if, will Green return? Not this week, but the Dolphins may make the decision easier as they pull the upset.

 

Jacksonville (- 10 �) over Houston � Jax desperately needs all the wins they can, for it seems to make the playoffs as a wildcard in the AFC a team is probably going to need 11 wins to be safe. No problem this week against the Texans.

 

San Diego (- 1 �) over Cincinnati � The Bengals� slide continues. Chargers are in the same situation as the Jaguars, and even in Cincy, the Chargers will prevail.

 

Atlanta (- 8 �) over Cleveland � The wildcard in the NFC is different than the AFC � a 10-win team in the NFC should easily be a wildcard. Falcons can improve to 6-3 with a win over the Brownies. Vick has a field day in an easy win.

 

Tennessee (+ 7 �) over Baltimore � If the Steelers� win out, the Ravens need to lose two other games besides the Steelers� games. This isn�t going to be one of them, although the Titans will keep this one close.

 

Buffalo (+ 11 �) over Indianapolis � Indy should win this one easily, but I have a feeling the Bills will keep it closer than it really should be.

 

Washington (+ 7 �) over Philadelphia � Both teams desperately need a win to keep close to the Giants. Philly gets the win, possibly in OT.

 

Green Bay (+ 5 �) over Minnesota � The Vikings have looked bad the last two weeks, including only scoring 3 points against the 49�ers. Even though Brett Favre�s record in domes is atrocious, he wins this one.

 

New England (- 10 �) over NY Jets � Jets could pull within a game of the Pats with a win. But, the Pats win and start their cruising to their division title.

 

San Francisco (+ 6 �) over Detroit � San Fran is taking some steps toward being respectable, Detroit is, well, Detroit. This seems like a lot of points, even playing in Detroit.

 

Denver (- 9 �) over Oakland � This is a home underdog that I just can�t pick, even with all those points. Denver wins going away.

 

St Louis (+ 3 �) over Seattle � The rain should be stopping any day now in Seattle. Rams need this one (I said this last week and they blew chunks against the Chiefs.) But, still no Alexander and Hasselback means the Rams go into a tie for the divisional lead.

 

Arizona (+ 7 �) over Dallas � In years past, Dallas at Arizona was like a home game for the Cowboys. And perhaps even this year, with the Cardinals on a fast sinking ship. But, Arizona is a home underdog, and I�m just waiting for the next TO explosion.

 

Pittsburgh (- 4 �) over New Orleans � As each week passes, the Saints look like they are for real, and the Steelers don�t. Santonio is back returning punts, and doesn�t fumble!

 

NY Giants (- 2 �) over Chicago � This is the first week of NBC getting to choose which game to put on Sunday night. Not a bad choice this week. Even with all the injuries for the Giants, they should win this game.

 

Carolina (- 9 �) over Tampa Bay � Carolina desperately needs a win, especially if the Saints lose to the Steelers. Tampa doesn�t put up much of a fight.

 

 

 

FLG�s

Atlanta over Cleveland

Green Bay over Minnesota

Denver over Oakland

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