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Stillers vs. Ravens Pregame Analysis

September 05, 2003 by Still Mill

Stillers vs Ravens1

Stillers vs. Ravens Pregame Analysis (Game #1, vs. Balt.)

 

The Stillers open the 2003 season against bitter division rival Baltimore.The Stillers enter the new season as overwhelming favorites to win the lowly AFC North, but the Ravens are considered by most to be the Stillers' strongest competition for the North title.

 

 * When the Ravens have the ball, they'll bring an ok offense that has occasional sparks from both the passing and running game.The biggest news from Balt-land is the starting of rookie Kyle Boller at QB.Of course, when all that's left are Chris Redman and (hold your laughter) Anthony Wright, it wasn't much of a risk to start Boller.Still, rookie QBs making their first-ever start on an opening day typically struggle mightily.Boller has some good weapons at his disposal.Travis Taylor, who had his best pro season last year, leads the assault at WR.Former Cardinal WR Frank Sanders was a key FA signing, but he's nicked up and is doubtful for this tilt.Marcus Robinson, who was nagged by injuries in Chi-town, will start in place of Sanders.Ron Johnson should see some work in 3WR sets.Todd Heap is easily one of the league's most dangerous TEs.With the way he single-handedly ravaged the Stillers last December, combined with the fact that he rarely, if ever, got chucked by big-man OLB Jason GilDong, Heap will most likely be foaming at the mouth at the thought of prancing unfettered through the porous Stiller defense.

 

Jamal Lewis leads the rushing attack.Lewis showed last year that, when healthy, he's one of the NFL's most dangerous backs.Lewis has the speed, quickness, slashing, and cutting ability to give many a defense headaches.He's led thru the hole by FB Alan "Jean Luc" Ricard, who is a capable blocker.��

 

The O-line is a mixed bag.At LT, of course, the Ravens have all-world Jon Ogden, whose massive reach and brawn allows him to swat away most would-be pass rushers as though they were toddlers.But the rest of the line is a collection of has-been's and never-were's.Mulitalo is an adequate LG, as is Flynn at C, but Flynn will get some rude treatment from Casey Hampton.RG Bennie Anderson is a scrapper but nothing special.�� Ethan Brooks mans the RT spot.Ethan is the Ravens' equivalent of Oliver Ross; oafish, clumsy, and generally appearing to wear cleats that are made by Nike Air Concrete. Like Fat Oliver, Brooks is prone to hideous lapses where he incoherently stumbles about with all the grace of a town drunkard.

 

The Stillers will be without all-world OLB Joey Porter, who got shot in the ass last weekend.Clark Haggans can't replace Porter's coverage, nor can he replace Porter's electric speed off the corner, but unlike some OLBs on the roster, Haggans is more than man enough to stuff the run and at least valiantly battle Ogden on the pass rush.

 

The Raven WR corps is hardly to be confused with the fleet over in Cleveland, for example.It will be interesting, and amusing, to see if Chad and DeWayne play the preponderance of snaps at 8 yards off the ball, or if they come up once in a while to jam these WRs.

 

The key matchup will be the Stiller pass defense on Heap and the harassment on Boller.Sure, the Ravens would love to be able to pound the ball and chew the clock with Lewis -- thereby decreasing Boller's responsibility -- but the Stiller defense is too strong against the run.Boller will thus have to assume more of the burden.The young rookie will be looking to unload the ball as quickly as possible, and there's nary a bigger -- nor possibly a more wide open -- target than Heap.The Stillers supposedly have rectified their perennial problem of TE cover-failure; this is a good litmus test to see if that is so.Boller won't look much unlike John Elway in his first NFL start -- confused, befuddled, and bewildered.The Stillers must show Boller dozens of looks, and then put the heat on the young lad.Harassment and disruption will force Boller into the kind of horrible mistakes that cause most coaches to refrain from starting a rookie QB in the very 1st game of a season.

 

* When the Stillers have the ball, they'll begin a season with their most potent offense since the '95 season.Maddox assumes command of this dangerous air attack, with Plex, Ward and El set to scorch opposing secondaries.Amos and Riemersma are in; Bettis and Bruener are rightfully relegated to the bench.

 

The concern is along the O-line, which struggled during preseason and has been -- as only Billy Cowher would prefer -- in a state of flux all summer.Sometimes-shaky Marvel Smith now protect Mad Oxe's blind side.RG K. Simmons was diagnosed with diabetes.�� C Jeff Hartings is fighting thru the pain of knee problems.Todd Fordham eventually won the RT job in a fairly uninspiring competition with Oliver Ross.

 

The Ravens front 7 isn't up to what it was during its title run, but it's not too shabby.DE Anthony Weaver figures to give Fordham & Simmons fits all day long. Kelly Gregg, Marques Douglas, and Ma'ake Kemoeatu give the Ravens a solid rotation at the other 2 DL spots.The LB corps is outstanding.All-world Ray Lewis mans the middle, along with last year's emerging surprise, Ed Hartwell.When Ray Ray went down last year, Eddie came on and played terrific football.Peter Boulware figures to be a very stern test for Marvel Smith.Expect Boulware to be a nuisance all afternoon.Adalius Thomas starts at LOLB.Rookie 1st round LB Terrell Suggs won't start, but you can better believe that he'll see loads of snaps all over the defense as a hell-bent pass rusher.

 

The Raven secondary isn't as good as they talk, but they are adequate.Chris McAlister hasn't fulfilled his billing as a 1st rounder in the '99 draft, but he's better than either of the Stiller starting CBs.At the other CB, Corey Fuller does an awful lot of smack talking, but is ripe for the beating.Ed Reed is a very, very good safety.If Maddox isn't getting pounded and harassed -- and that's a very large "if" -- the Stillers superb trio of WRs should beat a decent but abusable Raven secondary.

 

The key matchup will be the Ravens' run-blitzing defense against the Stiller offense.Few, if any, defenses know the Stiller tendencies better than Ray Lewis and the Ravens.The Ravens will run blitz on most downs, and will shoot every gap they possibly can, all in an effort to disrupt and take advantage of a lumbering O-line that isn't anywhere close to being jelled.And even though Amoz is starting, the Stillers are prone to running whaleshit counters with Amoz, which Lewis will sniff & smell as soon as the ball is snapped.Billy Cowher will, as usual in an opener, be expecting a vanilla defense.Baltimore will not be so polite and accommodating.I don't expect the Stiller ground game to do much at all.The O-line is still in a state of flux, and the savvy, quick, gap-shooting Ravens defense is the last defense you want to play when your O-line is fomenting over with slop.How the Stillers react to a swarming defense and a lack of ground game, will be most interesting.

 

* Special Teams: The Ravens don't have a dangerous threat in the return game.Of course, this being opening day under Billy Cowher, a gimp like Frank Sanders could practically limp off the bench and take a punt back on a 73-yard jaunt.ARE didn't get much work in the preseason, since the Stillers wanted to audition some backups.He is, I'm sure, excited to get his hands on the ball in the return game.Rookie Ike Taylor could see some KR work, although more likely newly acquired Freddie Million and Lee Mays will see the bulk of the chores there. ��Jeff Reed begins his first full season as the Stiller PK; it will be interesting to see how he does on the formerly-tricky Heinz turf, which is now a plush carpet of syntho-grass.

 

Key Individual Matchups:

 

* Marvel Smith and Fordham against Boulware and Suggs.Any kind of abuse by the Ravens here will spell a major headache -- literally and figuratively -- for Maddox.

 

* Dan Kreider vs. Ray Lewis.Kreider has been incredibly effective at smacking Ray Ray in the mouth.He'll need to do this on Sunday to slow down Ray Ray and give Amoz some room.

 

* Heap vs. Farrior/Logan/Pola/whomever. As noted above, Heap is a strong threat at TE.�� The Stillers will try different approaches on Heap, to include using The God of LB Coverage, James Farrior, at times, and Logan at times.Trojan Troy will probably also get tasked from time to time.Clearly, two defenders in particular need not ever be tasked for these chores -- Burnt Alexander and Jason GilDong.

 

* Synopsis: It's opening day, which means only two things to Billy Cowher:slop and slather.�� As has been previously written, Little Billy loves nothing more than slop and slather on opening day.He's been doing it for TEN solid years; why stop now?Gen. Tommy Franks had "Shock and Awe"; Billy Cowher prefers Slop and Slather.Playing at home, against a rookie QB, the Stillers should whip and dominate the Ravens.But Billy's slop and slather will make this laugher far closer than it should be.The Stiller O-line, which was a goatrope the entire summer, will most assuredly get pillaged and plundered by the Raven blitzing schemes.Overall, expect a rabid proliferation of slop and slather from both sides of the Stiller team, to include pre-snap penalties, botched assignments, bumbling confusion, and an overall team stupor.If a veteran QB were starting, I'd pick the Ravens to win; after all, Tony Banks "led" the Ravens to a win over the slovenly Stillers in the '00 opener.But with a rookie greenhorn, who will inherently be prone to mistakes and blunders, starting at QB, I'll figure that Baltimore's mistakes will be more egregious than Billy's slop and slather.The Stillers will slop out a thoroughly uninspiring 19-13 win.

 

 

Opening Day Slop & Slather, as reported earlier:

 

�94 - Playing at home, Cowher's team got thoroughly whipped, dominated, and embarrassed in every phase of the game in a hideous home blowout to Dallas.The 26-9 final score didn't even begin to tell the full story of this laughable but extremely embarrassing blowout.

 

 �95 - At home, against an exceptionally average Lions team, the Stillers eked out a sloppy 3-point win in OT.�� Here you have a veteran-laden team that came 3 yards short of going to the Super Bowl, and 8 months later -- with virtually the SAME team intact and healthy -- they're clawing for a home win against one of the very average teams in pro football, all because of slop, slather, disorganization, and lethargy.����

 

 �96 - At Jax, the Stillers lost to the 3-13 (in �95) Jags in one of the shoddiest, most ill-prepared opening-day efforts ever witnessed in the NFL.�� Cowher's team looked sloppy, lethargic, and physically unprepared for the rigors of a regular season game.�� Additionally, Cowher's imbecilic 3-headed QB derby at training camp badly misfired, because none of the QBs had gotten enough work with the starting unit.Cowher jerked Jim Miller out of the starting lineup early in the 3rd quarter, but Mike Tomczak's first pass was INT'd and returned for a TD.�� This 24-9 beating was undoubtedly one of the most embarrassing losses in Stiller history.

 

�97 - Once again at home against the Cowboys, the Stillers got thoroughly whipped, dominated, and embarrassed in every phase of the game in a hideous 30-point loss to Dallas.The 37-7 final score didn't even begin to tell the full story of this laughable blowout.There was talk going into the of the "revenge factor" of beating the Cryboys, since the Stillers had lost to them just 19 months prior in Super Bowl 30.Despite the "revenge factor" and the fact that about 80% of the '97 team had bitter memories of SB 30, the Stillers were nonetheless handed a can of whipass by the Cowboys.

 

�98 - In yet another sloppy opener, the Stillers sputtered, slumbered, and slothed throughout the entire afternoon against the lowly Ravens.Remember, this was a game with a team that narrowly lost the AFC Title game just 8 months prior, against a shoddy relocated club that had never sniffed the playoffs.Only the gross ineptitude of the Ravens, to include rookie Priest Holmes tripping over his own two feet on a critical 3rd down run that had "TD" written all over it -- precluded the Stillers from yet another opening day loss.�� The Ravens also helped immensely with a day full of woeful QB play and special teams blunders, to include two horrific long-snaps that allowed the Stillers to get the ball in golden field position.The Stillers were lucky to slop out this narrow 20-13 win.

 

�99 - Bill Cowher was able to pad his opening day win-loss record with this laugher of a game against a junior-varsity Cleveland team.�� No less than 75 NCAA teams could have beaten the woeful, expansion Browns that evening.�� In all actuality, this game was nothing more than a tune-up game; no different than when a big-time college football team opens its season against the likes of Arkansas State.�� The next game -- facing a legitimate, genuine NFL team (the Ravens) -- in a repeat of the �98 opener, the Stillers sputtered slumbered, and slothed their way through an afternoon of sloppy football, and held on for a narrow, fortuitous 3-point win.�� Of course, the Stillers went on to stink and sputter en route to a miserable 6-10 season.

 

�00 - Again opening the season at home, the Stillers once again sputtered and slumbered throughout the entire game, and allowed the bumbling Ravens to steal a win at 3 Rivers.It was rather evident that, for the 8th year in a row, Cowher's team was no more prepared to play football on opening day than it was prepared to drive a space shuttle from Earth to the darkest reaches of Jupiter.

 

'01 - Facing an injury-ravaged Jaguars team that was also totally decimated by free agency and the salary cap, Cowher's team nonetheless went down to J-ville and got their asses beaten in every phase of the game.Not only was Cowher's team disorganized, confused, and befuddled, but they were also badly out-hit and manhandled at the point of attack the entire afternoon.2 days later, the 9-11 attacks occurred, and no less than Billy Cowher was the very first person exonerated by the CIA due to "a total incapability, along with a total lack of brains and common sense, of planning and coordinating such an attack".��

 

�02 - Not many fans need much of a reminder of last season's hilarious embarrassment on Monday Nite Football.�� Cowher's minions thumped their chest for 8 months about "revenge" and how "Cowher will upstage Belichick".By the end of the evening, Cowher was beet red with embarrassment and humiliation, as the Pats gave Cowher a brutal, thorough 30-14 ass-whipping.�����

 

So there you have it -- 10 years of embarrassing opening day futility by the NFL's most overpaid coach.

 

 

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