Smitter�s Week 6 Picks vs the spread
Last week:�� 5-9�� Overall: 37-37� 50%
FLG�s last week: 1-2�
FLG�s overall: 7-7� 50%
Not a good week again, only 5-9, but Jax and Arizona both
lost by the dreaded � point. Such is the life of betting against the spread,
though. Even though teams coming off byes last week didn�t perform as they had
in the past, I will still list the record the last 5 years of teams playing
this week after a bye week.
Steelers (- 3 �) over Jacksonville � After briefly
checking, it looks like the Stillers are about even the last few years after
playing Monday nights. In the future, I want to check out the records the
following week of eastern time zone teams that play MNF on the west coast the
week before. Regardless of who is QB�ing, the Steelers pull this one out.
Dallas (- 3 �) over NY Giants � In the
wild, wacky NFC East, who knows which Dallas team shows up this week � the one
who kicked Philly�s ass, or the one who lost to Oakland? The Giants have lost 4
in a row the week after a bye week, so I�m going with the Cowgirls.
Carolina (+ 1 �) over Detroit � I think
Carolina turned the corner last week in the 2nd half, and there is
just something weird about saying 1st place Lions. Of course, even
if they lose, at 2-3, the worst the Lions can be is tied for first.
Atlanta (- 4 �) over New Orleans � Even
without Michael Vick last week, the Falcons should have beat New England. A
game inside on the turf will help what ails the Falcons.
Minnesota (+ 3 �) over Chicago � Vikings
have won 3 in a row after a bye. It is amazing how bad Culpepper has become
without Moss. But, I think the Vikes, even with a bad offense, will have enough
to take care of the Bears.
Kansas City (- 6 �) over Washington � I think
of all the teams with one loss, the Skins are the one I still am not convinced
of. Kansas City is coming off a bye week (3-2 after the bye week), in which
they have had two weeks to stew over the Philly game. KC is pissed, and will
prevail.
Tennessee (+ 3 �) over Cincinnati � In an
old divisional rivalry, even after last week�s loss, the Ben-gals get caught
looking forward to the ass-whipping they will be getting next week.
Cleveland (+ 5 �) over Baltimore �
Somewhere, the football Gods are smiling, as Cleveland climbs to 3-2 (who would
have thunk it?) and the Ravens unraveling continues. Trent Dilfer will enjoy
this game.
Tampa Bay (- 4 �) over Miami � Ricky Williams
returns, but won�t even be the best RB named Williams playing. Tampa is upset
over losing a game last week that they should have won.
Denver (- 3 �) over New England � It seems
that Denver has gotten their swagger back (and ground game) in the Mile High
City. New England ends their stretch of tough games with a loss to the Broncos.
Buffalo (- 3 �) over NY Jets � With what
may be a record 4 games with an O/U of 35 or less, this game has the lowest at
33. Kelly Holcomb leads the Jills to a victory over the Jets and 76-year old
Vinny.
Oakland (+ 2 �) over San Diego � Will be
interesting to see the hangover the Chargers have from the loss to Steelers.
Even though they are only taking the quick trip up the coast, I like the
Raiders in this one. (Oakland 3-2 after a bye week, but have lost the last 2)
Seattle (- 9 �) over Houston � Seattle
is coming off an impressive road win in St Louis last week, the only thing
Houston has going for it is the Astros will still be playing for another game
or two.
St Louis (+ 13 �) over Indianapolis � This seems
like a lot of points in a game that may be a shootout. Dwight Freeney gets bit
by the �SI Jinx�, and the Colts defense is exposed.
My First Look Goodies (FLG) for the week are:
Minnesota (+ 3 �) over Chicago
Buffalo (- 3 �) over NY Jets
Seattle (- 9 �) over Houston