Smitter�s Week 7� Picks:

Last week: 9-4 ���Overall: 35-52� 40.2%��

FLG�s last week:� 1-2�� Overall �6-12� 33.3%

 

Well, not a good week to start betting against all of my picks! But, my FLG�s are still stinking, even last year when I was under 50% overall, my FLG�s made me money. Home team underdogs were 5-1 last week, and are now 21-10 for the year, 67.7%. Except for Week 1, the home dogs have had a winning record every week. Now that midget football is over and I have some free time, at least until basketball season starts, I plan on going back a few years and look at the records of home dogs. This week, 7 of the 13 games have home dogs, we will see if the trend continues.

 

Pittsburgh (- 2 �) over Atlanta � So much for me picking all the home dogs! I think the Steelers can jump out to an early lead and force Vick to beat us with his arm, and we all know that won�t happen.

 

Kansas City (+ 5 �) over San Diego � KC has a tough match-up after their embarrassing performance last week. San Diego is bound for a minor letdown after two big wins. KC keeps this close, may even pull out the victory.

 

Jacksonville (- 9 �) over Houston � This is the second home dog I am going against. (There is one more to come.) Jax is just too tough for the Texans.

 

Buffalo (+ 5 �) over New England � While I don�t think the competition is strong enough in the AFC East for anyone to challenge the Pats for the division, I feel they have slipped enough to lose games like this.

 

Miami (- 4 �) over Green Bay � Pity the poor folks who have to watch this game, and this probably isn�t the worst match-up of the week. Dolphins win solely because they are playing at home.

 

Tampa Bay (+ 5 �) over Philadelphia � Tampa rides the momentum of last week�s last second win and takes Philly to the wire.

 

NY Jets (- 3 �) over Detroit � Jets feel they are contenders in the division, and Detroit isn�t going to put up much of a fight this week.

 

Carolina (+ 3 �) over Cincinnati � Carolina�s defense will feast on a not-so-mobile these days Carson Palmer. After shredding the vaulted Baltimore defense last week, Delhomme and company are salivating this week.

 

Cleveland (+ 4 �) over Denver � No other reason than Cleveland is a home dog and coming off a bye week.

 

Indianapolis (- 9 �) over Washington � When I first saw Indy by only 9 �, I thought the game was at Washington. This just doesn�t seem like a lot of points playing indoors.

 

Minnesota (+ 6 �) over Seattle � Minnesota needs a win to keep pace for the wildcard, in which early indications are that it might take 10 wins to nab a wild-card berth in the NFC. Seattle, even playing at home, will lose in a high-scoring game.

 

Oakland (+ 3 �) over Arizona � Who would have thought that the Green Bay-Miami game wouldn�t be the �Stinker of the Week�. After Arizona�s meltdown, Oakland may have their best chance for a win all year.

 

Dallas (- 3 �) over NY Giants � With a national TV audience for this one, TO may score another two or three touchdowns.

 

 

 

FLG�s

Carolina over Cincinnati

Indianapolis over Washington

Oakland over Arizona