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Smitter's Week 15 Picks

December 14, 2006 by Steel Smitter

Smitter�s Week 15  Picks:

Last week: 11-5    Overall: 99-109  47.6%  

FLG�s last week:  3-0   Overall  19-23  45.2%

 

Home dogs were 3-3 last week, and are now 47-24, 66.2%, for the year. Home favorites are now 62-75, 45.3%, on the year.

 

Seattle (- 9 �) over San Francisco � Away teams are now 1-5 on Thursday nights, so going with the home team here, even though the Seahawks weren�t too impressive last week in their loss to Arizona.

 

Atlanta (+ 3 �) over Dallas � Atlanta is the home dog. Dallas looked like crap against the Saints last week, after all the talk, including here, of how the Cowboys were beginning to look like a Super Bowl contender.

 

Pittsburgh (+ 3 �) over Carolina � Steelers� quest for .500 continues, as well as the outside shot of the playoffs. While Peppers may get a few sacks, Ben will light up the depleted Carolina secondary.

 

Minnesota (- 3 �) over NY Jets � Both teams in need of win for continued hope of playoffs. Minnesota beat a woeful Lions team last week, while the Jets didn�t even show up in their blowout loss to the Bills.

 

Cleveland (+ 11 �) over Baltimore � Cleveland has the extra rest, but not sure what that is worth when you suck! I believe they keep it close this week against the old Browns.

 

Houston (+ 11 �) over New England � I thought Houston would be playing better at this point of the year than they are. New England looked pitiful last week, and I look for them to rebound at home, but won�t cover.

 

Buffalo (- 1 �) over Miami � Normally, Miami playing at Buffalo in the middle of December would spell disaster for the warm-weather Dolphins. But, temps are going to be in the high-40�s or low-50�s Sunday in Buffalo. Still, it won�t help the Dolphins.

 

New Orleans (- 9 �) over Washington � Lots of points, but New Orleans looks like they have a team that can contend for the NFC Super Bowl slot.

 

Tennessee (+ 3 �) over Jacksonville � Vince Young is playing well, Tennessee is a home dog, and we need them to win. Go Vince!

 

Chicago (- 13 �) over Tampa Bay � This is the game that Grossman looks like he did earlier in the year.

 

Philadelphia (+ 5 �) over NY Giants � The winner has inside track for a wildcard spot. Plaxico says no one on the Eagles can cover him. But, can Eli get him the ball? Here�s saying he can�t, at least not enough to make a difference.

 

Green Bay (- 5 �) over Detroit � �With the first pick in the 2007 NFL Draft, the Detroit Lions select�� is words we could be hearing in April.

 

Arizona (+ 2 �) over Denver � See Tenn-Jax game above, but insert Matt Leinart for Vince Young. That, and Jay Cutler doesn�t seem to have it�..yet.

 

San Diego (- 9 �) over Kansas City � LT gets three more TD�s, to win the battle of premier AFC running backs. Chargers have got to be the class of the NFL right now.

 

Oakland (- 2 �) over St Louis � Wait, the Raiders are favored? Oh, well, seems like a winner to me!

 

Indianapolis (- 3 �) over Cincinnati � Colts can�t be as bad as they looked last week. I look for them to rebound on Monday night, although Rudi Johnson may gain 200 yards on them.

 

FLG�s

Cleveland over Baltimore

Buffalo over Miami

Tennessee over Jacksonville

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