Note:
For the most part, this
article was put together in the days preceding that incident early on 30 August
that left Joey Porter bleeding on the asphalt outside some Denver sports
bar.� Due to time constraints, or out of
some urge to memorialize the occasion, I�m going to leave the original text
intact, simply summarizing at the close such adjustments as are available now,
and the likely consequences thereof.
It is only right to
acknowledge that Joey does have a wife and 3 children; happily, it appears now
that Mr. and Mrs. Porter�s progeny will come of age with benefit of their
father�s love and guidance.� That is too
infrequently so, as we know, one person died in this incident and five were
wounded.� In too many locales within this
nation, that�s about par.�� Once, we the
people once did some work so that, among other things, domestic tranquility
might be insured.� Despite that, it is
entirely possible today to draw some dozen (or more) Baghdad-sized circles on a
map of our nation within which the death toll for US citizens far exceeds that
found in, say, greater Iraq.�
We have a keen sense of
that which motivates the average Saddam-loyalist or Al Qeada operative, be it
an appetite for untrammeled power, or a world view lowering within the limits
proscribed at Madras no-Tech so requiring that outlanders be eliminated from
the sacred sands, or simply a certain seat in Paradise with some 72 hotties
attending, each somehow remaining virginal thru-out all Eternity.� Less certain is what motivates the average
domestic terrorist, and let us be clear, even if this is an everyday
occurrence, it does define an act of terror.�
Above all, this is absolutely apparent: we are one people divided and,
either we do the work of reconciliation, or we die in common, inside
outward.� For philosophy, we could do
worse than Walt Kelly who�s Pogo had it: �we have met the enemy and he is
us.�� Now, to the task at hand:
2003 Steelers unit-by-unit: Defense.
Beginning with a scheme
glossary�
|
OKIE |
Heavy Nickel |
Nickel, 3 CB |
Porter Dime |
3 Down Dime |
Remarks |
RB/FB,
2 WR, 1 TE |
* |
|
|
|
|
Steeler
base figures to be strong against this run; however, since the coverage
scheme will remain Cover 3, underneath routes will remain open.� |
RB/FB,
1 WR, 2 TE |
* |
|
|
|
|
Farrior
will be the primary TE �coverage backer but the Steelers� 2nd TE
coverage option not known. |
RB/FB,
3 WR |
|
* |
* |
|
|
Smallish
DE make the nickel susceptible to a powerful FB/RB tandem, especially if that
RB can get on the edge. |
RB, 2
TE, 2 WR |
|
* |
* |
|
|
Smallish
DE make the nickel susceptible to a TE tandem and a RB who can get on the
edge; Steelers� 2nd TE cover option not known. |
RB, 4
Wide |
|
|
* |
* 4 WR |
|
Steelers
must rely on the differential between Polamalu and Flowers for any
improvement here. |
Empty
Set |
|
|
|
|
* |
3-down
could provide optimal pressure if Zo develops so both Porter and Bell can
play off the LOS. |
Explanation |
Base 3-4 |
KVO out, 3rd S
in |
KVO out, 3rd
CB in |
6th DB in for
Farrior. |
3-2-6, per� �Postscript, April �03.� |
|
�and turning to the
Unit Analysis:
DB:� The Steeler pass defense tumbled to #20 overall last season or, to put it in a harsher light, the Steeler pass defense got shredded early, flopped to the bottom and stayed there for most of the season before dominating performances against the hapless attacks of Houston, Carolina and Tampa Bay buoyed them to something just south of mediocre.� The numbers don�t lie; opponents got off 48 more passes in 2002 than in 2001 but the PS responded with (1) fewer pick/PD.� Considering Joey Porter had 4 INT and 9 PD, those overall stats don�t fully convey the decline in the secondary�s play.�
Regardless, we can say that had the pass-d aggregate played even to the highly average level of the 2001 group, they�d have summed 128 INT/PD, not 116, or made just about 1 more play per game.� Well, 1 play in 3 of every 4 games really which is to say the PS would have had no chance against the Pats or Raiders, although thwarting any of the Falcons five 3rd �and-really-long conversions should have been well within reasonable expectation.� Anyway:
|
2001 |
2002 |
# Passes thrown by
opposition (TPT) |
525 |
573 |
# Passes defended by
Steelers |
101 |
�97 |
# INT |
�16 |
�19 |
Total �hands on a pass�
(HOP) |
117 |
116 |
%� HOP/TPT |
22% (0.2228) |
20% (0.2024) |
% Sacks (sacks/TPT +
sacks) |
9.5% (55/580) |
8% (50/623) |
It�s worth noting that Tampa Bay, # 1 against the pass last season, had an HOP/TPT index of about 28%, something around 1.33 better than the Steeler figure.� In this vector, the Steeler unit has been average, at best, for a couple of years and, in point of fact, the 2000 numbers were about the same as those shown above.� That is, what they�ve done is what they did; however, it must be acknowledged that personnel may conflate scheme (or vice versa) as, over those three years, neither has varied much.� Leaving the players for a moment, consider:
- In their base, the Steelers are a zone team because they are a blitzing team.� Pressure-wise, Porter and Gildon achieved pretty much the same numbers in each of the past 3 years.� Smith�s sack figures were up a bit in 2001 but the difference maker that season was Kendrell Bell.� Bell played off the LOS exclusively then which is to say, if he came, he was blitzing.� So, in the base defense, the SS has been in the box to cover up the spots vacated by blitzers while the other DB have played Cover 3.� In general, that has been the dime mode too.
- On average, 4-3 OLB are set wider than 3-4 OLB, which is to say that, on average, 4-3 OLB are in a better position to defeat any wide run game.� Therefore, the Steeler OKIE has put a premium on CB with the size to give run support.� More often than not, your big DB will have some agility issues; we�ve seen that as the Steeler CB have struggled, especially against smaller, quicker WR.
In sum, you�ve got an scheme/personnel dyad ill equipped to deal with the underneath or horizontal routes that drive the West Coast type offense.�� Tim Lewis was caught short last season in both aspects but, from all reports, now has added (2) nickels and an additional dime pack to his package repertoire.� Considering those:�
- In
their preferred heavy nickel, the Steelers could play some Cover 2 and
still have (1) safety in the box.�
Structurally, this should provide better match-ups in the
underneath pass game since, in Cover 2, the CB can come up and press at
the LOS.� That�s all good although
whether the nickel can stand up against, say, 3WR and a powerful RB/FB
tandem remains to be seen.�
- Although
most teams use their 3rd CB in their nickel, we�ve seen little
of any 3 CB set in this pre-season.�
That is because the Steelers expect more of Troy Polamalu than
Deshea Townsend.�� However, it�s
absolutely clear that Townsend is a better cover player than, say, Brent
Alexander.� Against West Coast
style attacks, the Steelers may be best served with a nickel consisting of
Washington and Townsend in press coverage, Polamalu and Scott in Cover 2
and Logan in the box.� Contrasting
with the heavy nickel, this substitutes Scott for Alex in the deep zones
and DT for Scott up on the LOS.�
This would put the two swiftest of the Steelers� top 6 DB in the
area where maximum range is required; on the downside, neither Washington
nor Townsend are especially stout in run support and, considering that the
nickel DE will be OLB, that is something of an issue.
- Coach
Lewis has said that the dime will be the set of choice against 4-WR even
though, last season, the Steeler dime was consistently shredded.� Two changes in personnel (Polamalu for
Flowers and Bell for Haggans) may correct that; however, Bell has no
history on the LOS and his stature doesn�t suggest any high likelihood for
success there.� If the Steelers
cannot generate pressure out their dime line then what we�ll see is what
we�ve seen.
- In Postscript,
published on-site just after the draft last spring, I�d proposed a 3-down
dime.� This set may be best
employed against an empty backfield and non-agile QB (say, against the
Pats).� At the time that article
was posted, I�d proposed Porter and Bell in the middle, daring to dream
that either Keisel or Zo could contribute as DE.� If that is not so, then the next option is to move Porter
back to RDE, retain Farrior as a dime ILB (as he is in the nickel and as
he is no worse than #2 among coverage LB here) alongside Kendrell Bell.� This scheme is modeled on the T-Bay 3
down although that group has included Simeon Rice and Warren Sapp at DE
with the 34$M-man, Anthony McFarland, on the nose.� That championship 3-down featured a
trio of actual D-linemen but here any 3-down would field just one; so,
exposure against the run is a problem here but, unless or until their
young DE develop, the PS has what they have.
Turning to the secondary personnel:
Turnover differential is
a key to victory; last season those teams who were +2 in takeaways in any given
game won at about 90%.� CB is, or should
be, a playmaker�s position but, in point of fact, we haven�t seen that here for
sometime.� Last season, Chad
Scott and Dewayne Washington combined for just 5 INT; add NCB Deshea
Townsend and the top 3 CB had (8).� That�s not nearly good enough; while Scott
is solid in most aspects, Washington has lost a step (or more) and, apparently,
lost all ability to tackle in the open field too.� We saw that in the brief overtime segment of the Tennessee
playoff and we�ve seen it in every pre-season game this summer.� The soft cushion Steeler CB provide assures
plenty of completions underneath; that compels crisp, sure tackling and, if
Washington has lost that capacity, he�s of no conceivable value to this team.� Broadly, Townsend is lost in space but pretty
effective in press coverage; as noted previously, the Steelers� best option,
especially against West Coast mode attacks, may be with DT at the LOS in a 3 CB
nickel.
Brent Alexander has been the QB for the DB corps for several seasons now; he said to be �like a coach on the field� but, while this moniker isn�t intended to convey the notion of a 45-year-old waddling about the gridded greensward, that image is inescapable.� To Alex�s credit, he has shown good tackling ability in pre-season; on the downside, his dry spell as to picks and PD continues.� It is a matter of record that, back in 2000, the secondary solidified when Alex replaced the woeful duo of Davis/Shields.� Still, time moves on and considering that the other projected starters are veterans (Washington is entering his 10th season, Scott and Logan their 7th), Alex�s continuing presence is inexplicable.� Scott, Logan and Washington have been in the system long enough to find their way; if the Steelers had re-built their secondary through 2 prior drafts (as did San Diego for example) then some veteran presence might be required, but here, that is not so.�
Len Pasquarelli had it last year that, of Steve McNair�s 28 completions in the Titan PO, 19 were to the middle of the field.� Sure, Flowers had some culpability but Alex was in the game too.� McNair and Kelly Holcombe combined for over 700 yards in 2 PO games; of 80+ passes those men got off, the PS safety tandem defended zero.� If Alexander lacks the speed to cover the middle-3rd then he certainly must lack the speed to play Cover 2.� This means that, so long as Alex is at FS, the CB generally will be backed off the line in Cover 3; that is the minimum period over which the PS base will be defenseless against the West Coast mode.�
Mike Logan is the best
athlete among the returning safeties and, from we�ve what we�ve seen, the best
playmaker too.� However, we�ve seen too
little of Mike and that figures to be true this year as well.� Logan is injury-prone; he was down for
significant portions of two of four seasons in Jacksonville and hampered in one
of two here.� That�s four of six; off
that, Mike has, say, a 67% shot at getting through the season.� Factor that he is about 9 months removed
from knee surgery and, probably, that 67 goes south.� Look, Willis McGahee had surgery at the same time as Logan but no
one expects him to play this year.�
Sure, McGahee�s work was far more extensive but the fact remains: knee
ops aren�t typically a 9-month heal and Logan hasn�t been especially
durable.��
If Logan goes down, Troy
Polamalu will be the starter, ready or
not.� Unquestionably a great athlete and
a high try guy, this player has what it takes to be a difference-maker for a
unit that desperately needs one.� The
Trojan Torpedo has the speed and agility of a CB and so figures to get plenty
of slot coverage duty.� That speed will
serve him well in Cover2 and, off his rep for big hits, he certainly can play
in the box.� On the downside, due to his
height, he�ll be overmatched against TE and, maybe, he�s an overly
conscientious character too.� Or
something of that sort as, in pre-season action, he certainly spent more time
reading than reacting and, as a result, might be described as 3rd
impact-wise among D-side rookies (behind Ike and Zo) in those games.� Still, Polamalu should be pretty good by the
close of the season; whether he�ll help early against KC, the Cleveland 4-wide,
Denver or the once-greatest-show-on-turf certainly is open to question.
Chris Hope showed good hitting
ability in limited duty last season.�
That�s no surprise, Hope is phenomenally strong for a DB and, no doubt,
the Steelers used that benchmark when they selected him as the next Lee
Flowers.� The thing is, as the game
passed Flowers by, so Hope may be mismatched for the realities of today�s
NFL.� This player has yet to flash any
coverage instinct; his agility drills don�t encourage the idea that he will
develop coverage skills.� If he does so
develop, the Steelers will have a very strong safety tandem future-ward; more
likely though, Scott will move over to pair with Polamalu at safety and Hope
will be a swing guy for a year or too and then ship out, so tracing the career
trajectory of, say, Boo Bell.
Physically, Ike
Taylor has it all; his size, speed, strength
and leaping ability meet or exceed 1st round standards (say, Andre
Woolfolk).� Taylor is a big-time hitter
(ref: Tyrone Calico, Hank Poteat) and, from all reports, he is a hard worker
and good character guy.� In past
seasons, the Steeler secondary certainly has not overmatched many receiver
corps; when, or if, Taylor and Polamalu move in, that could change.�
For this season, we can
expect to see Ike on ST; already we�ve seen him excel in pre-season return
duty.� It�s doubtful that he�ll play much
defense even in the packages but IMO the staff would be well advised to
consider this.� Their instruction to Ike
could be simple like: �see the player, run with the player.�� Among all Steeler DB, Taylor has the best
shot against a big fast WR, say, TO, Koren Robinson or even Kelly
Washington.� As we all know, Ike had
about 10 games at CB in college; if he actually gets action early then, by the
Rams tilt, he will have doubled that amount.�
Let�s see about that learning curve especially as, if he sits, he rots
and, for sure, the Steelers look to need a new starter, or two, at CB for 2004.
Chidi Iwuoma is a nice ST
player but that�s it.� Pound for pound
and inch for inch, Iwuoma is a fine football player but he�s really too small
to factor much, even in package defense.�
We saw that in pre-season when Chidi was the coverage guy on 2 of 6
scoring passes by all opponents; overmatched then as when his EZ interference
penalty against the Eagles set up a 3rd pass TD, Chidi is a high try
guy but no #4 CB..
Outlook:� The
Steelers added considerable speed via the draft with Troy Polamalu and Ike
Taylor. If you consider that Lee Flowers was a 4.78 guy when he came out in
�95, that is to say, in his prime Flowers ran just a centi-click behind Brett
Keisel, you�ve got to conclude that the Steeler pass-d will get better,
sometime.� However, Taylor isn�t likely
to be on the field in the near term and, at least in front, Polamalu is a
package player.�� That is, 3 of 4 from
the base group return; of those, 2 are Contract 3 players, which is to say, 2
are on the way down.� 5 of the top 6
from last season�s abused dime group are back too; there was no real
difference-maker in that set one year ago and, until Polamalu (and/or Taylor)
settles in, that will be true this season too.�
Simply put, given the speed and hitting ability Polamalu and Taylor
are said to possess, the future looks good for this unit; however, given that
50% of the starters must be considered on the way down, the 2003 edition
figures as no better, and easily may be worse, than that fielded in 2002.
�
Lost:���������������� Lee Flowers, Hank Poteat.
Gained:������������ Troy
Polamalu, Ike Taylor.
LB:� No statistic better illustrates the Steelers� D-side
struggles last season than the decline in TFL from 2001 to 2002 produced by the
LB corp.� TFL are defined here as sacks
+ stuffs.� Note: these are regular season only; Porter, Bell and
Farrior increased their TFL haul in post-season, though neither Gildon nor
Haggans kept pace.
Player |
2001 |
2002 |
||
|
Sacks |
Stuffs |
Sacks |
Stuffs |
Earl Holmes
|
2.0 |
14.5 |
Not applicable |
Not applicable |
Jason Gildon |
12.0 |
4.5 |
9.0 |
0.5 |
Joey Porter |
9.0 |
8.5 |
9.0 |
1.5 |
Clark Haggans |
None |
None |
6.5 |
None |
Kendrell Bell |
9.0 |
12.5 |
4.0 |
5.5 |
James Farrior |
Not applicable |
Not applicable |
0.0 |
10.0 |
Total |
32.0 |
40.0 |
28.5 |
17.5 |
As stated in the D-side Overview:� �Job #1 is to diagnosis and treat the cause of the TFL decline cited above; that is, the
D-staff has to develop a means to return their playmakers to positions
from which they can make plays.� Too often this year, we saw opponents
dictating the terms of engagement; the stuff decline cited above fully reflects
that fact.�
So developed the
nickel packages that figure to be the Steelers� base or co-base set.� The LB corps contains the Steeler playmakers
and, beyond doubt, Coach Lewis�
scheme tweaks had less to do with his secondary personnel than with getting his Front
7 difference-makers in position to do just that.�� Turning to the personnel:
Joey Porter:�
There may be no D-side player in the NFL who is more heavily tasked than
is Joey.� When used (effectively) as a
DE in both the base and nickel, Porter must contend with LOT (who out-weigh him
by up to 90#), whether to turn in the run or to rush the passer.� In that respect, his role doesn�t vary from
Gildon�s but considering that Porter is also the best pass defender among
Steeler LB, that comparison ends abruptly.�
For example, Porter can be mixing it up with Jon Ogden on one play and
jumping with Todd Heap on the next.�
Quite a range�
It�s worth noting
that in Chicago, Rosey Colvin was on the LOS on 3rd down only
(presumably, that will be true in NE too) and, that in T-Bay, Derrick Brooks
gets D-Line protection vs. the run and is rarely called on to rush the
passer.� The rap on Porter has been that
he�s been inconsistent, or dominant early and dormant late.� Well, that�s no wonder; Porter is a superior
LB in all aspects; off the line, or in a 4-3, he�d be free of many an overmatch
snap (especially in the run game) but, until the OKIE dies here, we�ll see him
soldier on as a lightweight DE part-time and, accordingly, we�ll see him fall
off late in more LB-related tasks.
James Farrior:� The
#2 coverage backer on the team, Farrior figures to have primary TE-coverage
responsibility in both the base and nickel packages.� If he�s up to that, the Steelers will be much stronger in that
area but if not, not.� It is not clear
that Farrior can deal with TE but it is absolutely clear that he is the least
prolific pass rusher of the 4 starting LB and that the Steelers cannot continue
to put their best pass rushers in coverage.�
Against the run, Farrior is an excellent chase player but less stout at
the POA than is the ILB prototype.
Jason Gildon:�
Three-time Pro Bowl player who is, essentially, a rush DE; Gildon�s
deficiencies in space attenuate the deception that the OKIE might otherwise
offer.� On the plus side, he has been
durable and (plus or minus) figures to be on the field for every snap in the
base and in every package this season.
Kendrell Bell:�
Should excel again in the base and, now, the nickel where he is to be
lined up off the LOS.� However, his
short stature and limited reach do not suggest that he�ll get much done as a
dime RDE.� Bell has flashed in coverage
but little more; still, it�ll be interesting to see whether he�s more effective
in his nickel or dime roles.� My guess
is the nickel and that�ll tell us what we need to know about the future of the
34.� IMO, staff time spent imagining
Bell as a dime DE could have been far better utilized coaching this player in
coverage aspects of LB play.
As for the reserves,
well, Clark Haggans attracted little interest last winter over
his RFA tour; IMO, Haggans is just a guy; however, it is fair to say that he
filled in acceptably for Jason Gildon in his Dallas pre-start.� Alonzo
Jackson is the Steelers best, maybe
sole, hope as a DE in any 3 down dime; we saw flashes against Dallas when he
lined up at rush RDE but, for sure, he figures to make little impact as an OLB
this season.� Clint Kriewaldt is a step up from John Fiala on ST but can hardly be regarded as
exceptional, even as a backup at ILB.�� Larry Foote has shown little sign of developing beyond his rookie season, and that�s
not good; IMO, James Harrison should be schooled in-board since, at 6-0
(or less), he has no chance to make an impact as an OKIE DE.�
Outlook:� While
the FO added 2 players to this unit, it remains true that there is very little
depth behind the top 4.�� Jackson�s
future is far forward in the base but, if he can contribute as a package
rusher, the Steelers should be improved in that aspect.� Within this unit, it must be acknowledged
that Joey Porter is the MVP; if Porter goes down, it will take at least 2 to
replace him (Haggans in the base and Farrior as dime ILB) and maybe 3 (add Zo
as nickel rush RDE).
Certainly, this is
the team�s elite corps and Coach Lewis will deserve credit if he�s developed
schemes for keeping his elite effectively in the game.� However the odds are long on that as, in
air-NFL, D-linemen and D-backs are the primary defenders.� A year ago, in the bye week after NE and the
Raiders, it was apparent that whatever fix Mr. Lewis created, would be
against-the-league-wide grain.� As it
turned out then, there then was no fix at all.�
Now, well, we�ll see; in some sense, we now wait for last year, and what
might have been.
Lost:� �������������� John
Fiala, Justin Kurpeikis.
Gained: �� �������� Clint Kriewaldt, Alonzo Jackson
D-line:� Drafting Hampton in 2001 and moving KVO out
to RDE, the Steelers re-constituted their Blitzburgh Front 3.� We know the results; the 2001 group was #1
against the run and #1 overall.�
Arguably, that unit�s success was the template on which Ray Rhodes built
the Bronco 4-3 front, circa �02 when Lionel Dalton moved in at DT with Chester
McGlockton as Trevor Pryce moved out to DE.�
This gave the Broncos 3 @ 300# across the front; with a swift trio of LB
and even with Kavika Pittman in as a Gildon-surrogate, the Denver defense was
very stout against the run.
So, as was true here in
2002, few teams tried to run the ball and, as was true here, Denver floundered
on their soft pass defense and execrable 3rd down packages.� The difference between the Broncos and
Steelers last season had nothing to do with 3-4 or 4-3.� It had everything to do with the fact that
the PS could, for the most part, protect their QB while Denver could not.� So, the Steelers went a couple rounds in the
playoffs while the Broncos sat at home.�
Denver bounced Dalton and
McGlockton last winter, Rhodes too for that matter.� Now, the Equines figure as all-rush, no beef upfront; we�ll see
how that works out but I wouldn�t bet the house on that scheme.� Here, the PS retained their personnel and
their D-head too, entrusting him to cobble up some set of packages congruent
with today�s air show.� Probably then,
we can figure more of the same with respect to the base; that is, stout run-d
and little pass pressure.� As for the
packages, well, the D-line figures in only a limited role there as, 3 down or
4, we�ll see the OLB at DE with some set of D-linemen in-board.�
It could be argued that
this edition�s 4-down nick-pack recapitulates that mode perfected by the Ravens
in their 2000 title run, that being the jumbo DT tandem.� This may be so inside but on the edges, not;
RDE Mike McCrary was in the 270# range and LDE Rob Burnett at or just above
280#.� In contrast, Porter is listed at
248# and figures to get lighter as the season goes on; the other OLB are around
250-255.� Smaller than the Ravens, hell
this PS unit is smaller than those (projected) Eagle starters, Kalu and Burgess
who, weighing in the mid-260s, are considered less than optimally beefy.�
As constituted, the Steelers
have no rush DE at all; that could change if Zo Jackson develops but if not, we
can expect to see the entire OLB corps again wear down as the season wears
on.� The root cause of this deficiency
reverts to the D-line personnel here.�
The Steeler base schema requires 3 DT type players; occasionally, one
(like Ray Seals) will be a solid rush threat but, for the most part, no
go.� This has everything to do with the
OKIE mode that is one aspect, but only one, of the 3-4.� At root, the OKIE is a 5-2 with 3 DT and 2
DE; the latter here played by OLB.�
Originally, this was a run defense (perfected by Bud Wilkerson at OU)
and just for reference, the personnel involved look a good bit like the Denver
set outlined above.
There are other 3-4
modes: in years past, we�ve seen teams like the Buffalo Bills run an effective
3-4 with 2 big tackles (say, Washington and Pat Williams) freeing 1 superior
rush DE (Bruce Smith or Marcellus Wiley).�
This dual jumbo mode looks a lot like the Raven 2000 4-3 so, again, it�s
not so much 3-4 or 4-3 but OKIE or no.�
In 2002, following the Steelers� 2001 success, several teams installed
3-4 systems.� Those included: Atlanta,
Baltimore and, if only part-time, New England.�
However, not all 3-4s are created equal; using sacks as an indicator of
overall pressure on the pass (since, generally, pressure stats are poorly
compiled), consider:
|
Total
sacks |
By
D-line |
By LB |
By DB |
D-line
% |
Pittsburgh |
50 |
16 |
28.5 |
5.5 |
32% |
Atlanta |
47 |
31 |
14 |
2 |
66% |
New England |
34 |
14 |
16.5 |
3.5 |
41% |
Baltimore |
33 |
14.5 |
13.5 |
5 |
44% |
The Steeler D-line had
the 2nd high total but the differential between 2 and 3 or 4 vs. 2
and 1 is miniscule.� This is reflected in
the percentage factor where the PS D-line unit is far up the track.� Originally, the 3-4 was designed to counter
the horizontal pass game, doing so by dropping LB into coverage.� That�ll work if your LB aren�t the primary
pass rushers but, as we saw last season, if not, not.��� Unless or until the PS develops some legit rushers outside the
OLB corps, or dumps the OKIE mode entirely, what we�ll see is exactly what
we�ve seen.�
Turning to the personnel:
Casey Hampton is as good
as it gets at NT.� Earlier regarded as a
run-stuffer only, Hampton did flash some ability to collapse the pocket late
last season, collecting his 2 sacks over the Steelers� final 3 games.� In large measure, this is because Coach
Lewis finally decided to keep Hampton on the field in borderline run/pass
situations.� This season, we�ll see
Hampton doing that duty again, within the nickel packs expressly designed for
those occasions.� If there is any difference
between this year and last in the performance of the package lines, Hampton�s
play will be causal.� That�s good but
the fact that the roster has no viable alternative behind Casey is not.� The duties at NT are as rigorous as at any
position; the Steelers� absolute lack of rotational capability here is a big
problem.
Many have stated that Aaron
Smith�s play fell off last season but that is
absurd.� Smith had 14 TFL in 2002; that
is identical to his 2001 total.� Sure,
there was a drop-off in sacks, from 8 to 5.5 but, you know, stuffs do
count.�� Smith had 70 tackles, for a 3-4
DE, that�s an impressive total.� Still
more so, he had 59 solos; only Joey Porter and Chad Scott had more.� That is correct; Smith had more solo stops
than 3 of 4 starting DB and 3 of 4 starting LB.� What a bum.� Any decrement
in Smith�s sack totals had far more to do with the Steelers� lack of another
convincing pocket-punching presence up front than any decline in this man�s
play.
KVO is a warhorse; by his
attitude, versatility and performance, he is exactly the kind of veteran
presence any contending team needs.�
That said, at this point in his career, he is best cast as a rotation
player but, unfortunately, the Steelers have little talent to in-fill at his
spot.� Beyond doubt, he�ll give his best
effort but, beyond doubt, he�ll be getting his blows when the nickel pack is
on; there�s just no one else the roster who can do the job in the base.
Rodney Bailey is a pretty
decent rush down DT but has yet to demonstrate any run-stopping ability.� That he is the 3rd 3-4 DE on this
team certainly is a cause for concern.�
The Steelers are thin upfront as, behind Bailey, there is no one at
all.���
Kendrick Clancy does not
now, nor has he ever, fit the Steeler 3-4.�
Conceivably, he may contribute as a rush DT but considering that he has
rung up only 20T with 0 sacks in 3 years, that�s not likely.� Almost certainly, Clancy will be let go
following this season; why that inevitability has been delayed is entirely
opaque to me.
Chris Hoke is entering
his 3rd season on the roster; to this date, Hoke�s career numbers
make Clancy look like Mean Joe Greene.�
Presumably, Hoke is #4 at DE; that�s not good; it�s tough to imagine why
(following the Keisel report), the Steelers kept this player in preference to
Jabari Issa.� Now, Lorenzo Bromell has
been cut by the Vikes and Joe Saleve�a by the Ravens; neither could be
described as dominators and either (or both) may be through but, for sure,
they�ve each done more than Hoke.� It�s
a hard fact but true; the 2003 Steelers should be looking at other teams�
cast-offs, here and elsewhere on the roster.
Outlook:� There is no one behind Hampton and no one behind
Smith.� The Steelers enter the season
with 6 D-linemen; on form, only 4 could be described as contributors and, of
those, one is the oldest player on the team.�
This is catastrophe in waiting.
Lost:���������������� (Brett Keisel) will spend the
season on IR presumably plumping up to play the 3-4 in 2004.
Gained:������������ None.
Practice Squad:
�
David Upchurch:�
A D-lineman who showed good
combativeness in pre-season action.� Very
strong, figures as a NT type, however, will have to pack some tonnage to be of
any use there.
�
SS Russell Stuvaints:� At 6-0, 195# has the frame to play but needs
a little beef.� Was a LB at Youngstown
State where he was a solid but by no means dominating player.� Seen mostly in ST coverage in pre-season
games where he flashed high try but didn�t get much done.�
�
Summary:
Essentially, the Steeler
base must be regarded as just one of a number of situational packages. We�ve
read that Coach Lewis intends to field those on a down and distance basis.� That�s standard ops; however, this does presume
that opponents will act predictably.� If
that is not so, if, say, opponents pass on run downs and run on pass downs
then:
�
We�ll see if the base is
any better defending the West Coast mode; certainly, we can expect a downward
trajectory in the performance of 2 of 4 starters in the secondary.� There�s your Contract 3.
�
Last season, the dime
package was susceptible to the run.�
Except as Casey Hampton may remain, the Front 4 nickel scheme is
unaltered from the preceding Front 4 dime scheme.� We�ll see whether this package holds up, especially against such
opposing personnel as was outlined in the opening table.
As for the on-field
consequences attending Joey Porter�s absence:
�
Clark Haggans will
play in the base.� Clark looked pretty
good in pre-season; however, his open field ability is far more in the
Gildon-mode than in the Porter-mode.�
This is a step down.
�
James Farrior will be
the dime-backer. �Farrior is a quality
player but there is nothing to suggest that he�ll bring the rush threat Porter
manifested from the inside spot.� As to
his coverage ability, well, that�s unknown; for sure, he�ll have to be
exceptional to match the impact Porter produced last season, especially in the
early going.� More than likely, this will
prove to be another step down.
�
Alonzo Jackson may
factor as a package rusher, if only to give Haggans or Gildon a breather.� Jackson had 2 sacks in pre-season and that�s
good; he got both against Torrin Tucker, formerly of the Cowboys.� That is correct; Tucker met the Turk as
Dallas cut to 53 on Sunday.
�
Quite obviously, depth
is a considerable factor.� To verify
this, one only has to wonder at who may be the dime backer behind Farrior.�
Outlook:�
The hog is in the tunnel and the train is coming on.� In the
Colbert Era, drafts have been strong at the top and as strong as may be
expected at the bottom.� For the most
part though, the middle has been a wasteland; consequently, there�s little developing
talent in back of the starters.� Add to
that, a considerable outlay for Contract 3 players each of whom, in all possible
fairness, certainly did under-perform last season and, well, there�s little
enough cash for mid-level FA vets.� On
this side of the ball, there�s talent in the starting group but little depth;
more than likely, that absence will be keenly felt this season. �
�